Michigan Primary


I was interested in watching the election results for Michigan come in.  I knew Arizona was going to go to Romney, polling never swayed from Romney once.  Michigan is the big question mark here, the one that can either hurt Mitt or catapult him past Santorum going into super Tuesday, with it’s numerous match-ups, including the all important Ohio race.

And Santorum looks like he is giving Mitt all the fight he can handle.  At:10:03 pm, Romney is winning by 4 points over Santorum, though there are a number of counties that have large swaths of population yet to be counted, that have Rick Santorum leading at this point.  Which tells me that the number should tighten somewhat before the night concludes.  Kent and Ottawa counties in particular look like they could well tip the scales much in Mr. Santorum’s favor before the night is done.  Kent has but 22% of precincts reporting, and Santorum is leading there by 5%.  Ottawa county has Rick up by 16%, nearly 3,000 votes with just over 1/3rd of the precincts counted.

Now to be fair to Mitt, he is winning big in the two largest counties in Michigan, or at least the largest Republican voting counties in Michigan.  Wayne county has 60% of precincts reporting and Mitt is winning there by 10,000 votes, and in Oakland county he is leading by a whopping 26,000 votes with an identical 60% of precincts reporting.

Romney is winning the State right now by 30,000 votes, and he is leading in these two counties by a total of 36,000.

Mitt had better hope there is not a late surge in Santorum voters from the last reporting precincts, especially in Wayne and Oakland Co’s.

So unless Rick has something up his sleeve, Oakland and Wayne counties alone should keep him from winning, but Romney’s inability to do much of anything anywhere else will keep things close.

Biggest loser of the night?  Mr. Irrelevant himself, Newt Gingrich.  Newt has not been able to even carry third place in most of the counties of  the Wolverine state.  In the few that he has done so, five of the six are in northern mainland Michigan (not the Yoopers), and he generally garnered between 8 and 10% of the vote, from beating Ron Paul by 1 vote in Roscommon county, 123 to 122 votes, out of 1600 voters to his landslide 3rd place finish, where he received 355 votes in Leelanau county (sounds Hawaiian, doesn’t it?) out of 3869 votes.

That is where he did well, ladies and gentlemen.  In most other counties he could barely scrape together 5 or 6% of the vote.

The Newt got STOMPED in Michigan tonight. Reminds me of a song…

“Turn out the lights, the party’s over…”

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Breaking news:  it’s 10:37 pm, and Mitt has just been declared the winner of the Michigan primary. Looking at the numbers, Rick Santorum did well out there, but wasn’t able to win the major population centers, and wasn’t able to hold the Republican party’s center (if it could truly be said to have one,) and lost a tight race as a result.

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Pic of the day:  A wolverine, courtesy of Wikimedia commons.

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That’s it from here, America.  G’night.

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