WILDLY INACCURATE Week 3 NFL Picks


Maybe I should call these picks the REMARKABLY AVERAGE picks instead of the WILDLY INACCURATE picks.  8-8 against the spread week two, after going 7-8 (no pick on the Thursday game) ATS week one isn’t great, but it isn’t what I’d call WILDLY inaccurate.  But then again it isn’t accurate, and some of my picks have been REMARKABLY wrong, particularly when the Chiefs and Ravens have been involved.

I’ll try to spread the wildness and inaccuracy around this week, K?

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Patriots @ Bills: Sunday 1:00 pm on CBS.  The Pats are 8½ point favorites, the O/U is 53½ points.  The Pats will once again roll, and for the second time this year against a division foe on the road.  The Bills aren’t pushovers by any stretch of the imagination, but until the Pats run into a D that knows how to HIT THE QUARTERBACK, the Pats will continue their dominance.

Take the Pats and the Over.  Final score:  Patriots 42, Bills 31.

49ers @ Bengals:  Sunday 1:00 pm on FOX. The Bengals are 2½ point favorites, the O/U is 40½ points.  The Niners lost a tough one to the ‘Boys at home last week.  The Bengals lost a tough one on the road in Denver last week.  Cedric Benson will  run for over 100 yards and a touch, and the Dalton/Green combo in Cincinnati will make a few key connections and walk away with the win against the sluggish Niners in Cincy.

Take the Bengals and the over.  Final score:  Bengals 27, Niners 20.

Dolphins @ Browns:  Sunday 1:00 pm on CBS. The Browns are 2½ point favorites, the O/U is 41 points. I don’t care that the Browns beat the Colts last week, they are just not a very good team.  The Dolphins were good on offense in defeat week one, but were less than spectacular last week. Despite the inconsistency, the Fins will get their first running back TD on the ground this week and they’ll take care of the Browns.

Take the Dolphins and the under.  Final score:  Dolphins 24, Browns 14.

Broncos @ Titans: Sunday 1: 00 pm on CBS.  The Titans are 7 point favorites, the O/U is 42 points.  This Titans team has simply not had it as far as their running game is concerned.  But they have made up for it with a very strong air attack thanks to Matt Hasselback, and the O-line in Tennessee didn’t let the opposing D get a single sack last week versus the potent Ravens D.  That O is going to flatten the Broncos.

Take the Titans and the over. Final score:  Titans 30, Broncos 17.

Lions @ Vikings: Sunday 1:00 pm on FOX. The Lions are 3½ point favorites, the O/U is 45 points. The Lions have the most points of any NFC team.  The Lions have given up the least points of any team in the NFC.  Yes, this week they run into a division foe.  Yes, that division foe has one of the best running backs in the game, Adrian Peterson.  No, that does not make a difference.

Take the Lions and the over.  Final score: Lions 35, Vikings 21.

Texans @Saints: Sunday 1:00 pm on CBS.  The Saints are 4 point favorites, the O/U is 53 points. The Texans Ben Tate has played great starting at RB for the injured Arian Foster.  Andre Johnson is his usual self, giving Matt Schaub the target he needs to win.  Too bad he’s running into Drew Brees, hands down the best QB in the NFL not named Tom.

Take the Saints and the over.  Final score:  Saints 38, Texans 24.

Giants @ Eagles: Sunday 1:00 pm on FOX.  There is no line or O/U as of this writing for this game, due to the injury to Michael Vick. Doesn’t make a difference who the Giants play, they look like a team in need of large amounts of help from someone.  The run game should do well against this Eagles D, but Eli is a mess, the WR’s are banged up, and the Giants defensive backfield is a joke.  Giants will keep it close.  Close but no Cigar.

Eagles win(if/when spread and o/u info shows I will add it here.)  Final score:  Eagles 21, Giants 15.

Jaguars @ Panthers: Sunday 1:00 pm on CBS.  The Panthers are 3½ point favorites, the O/U is 43 points.  Cam Newton has been a revelation, thrown for over 850 yards, run for 2 td’s, and kept it close against a strong Packers team.  The Jags are on their 3rd QB since the last week of the preseason.  Jack Del Rio should feel blessed if he makes it out of this week with a job.  Gabbert won’t get the job done, but at this point, no one can get the job done for the Jags.

Take the Panthers and the under.  Final score:  Panthers 27, Jaguars 14.

Jets @ Raiders: Sunday 4:05 pm on CBS.  The Jets are 3½ point favorites, the O/U is 41 points.  Raiders are a decent team, they’ve played well, lost a tough one last week against a surging Bills team.  The Jets walked all over a clearly inferior Jags team last week.  Jets will find more interference this week.  The Raiders will run the ball well on this Jets team, and keep it close.

Take the Jets and the under.  Final score:  Jets 21, Raiders 17.

Ravens @ Rams: Sunday 4:05 pm on CBS.  The Ravens are 4 point favorites, the O/U is 42 points. Ravens had a let down last week after the drubbing they hit the Steelers with week one.  The Rams are less than great.  Spectacularly average is a term that comes to mind.  Spectacularly average won’t beat the Ravens.  Look for the Ravens to bounce back with a strong game from Ray Rice.

Take the Ravens and the under.  Final score:  Ravens 17, Rams 10.

Chiefs @Chargers: Sunday 4:05 pm on CBS.  The Chargers are 14½ point favorites, the O/U is 45 points. The Chiefs suck, and it doesn’t help that they lost Jamaal Charles for the year with an ACL tear.  They have NO real strength on offense, and none seems forthcoming.  Chargers are strong on O, and the Chiefs have bupkis for defense.  Chargers romp and stomp all over the chiefs.

Take the Chargers and the over.  Chargers 42, Chiefs 12.

Packers @ Bears: Sunday 4:15 pm on FOX.  The Packers are 3½ point favorites, the O/U is 45½ points. The Bears got stomped last week.  Cutler got his ass handed to him by the Saints.  Cutler isn’t the catalyst on offense in Chicago, Matt Forte is.  He should have decent numbers against the Pack, but those numbers won’t be enough.

Take the Packers and the under.  Final score:  Packers 24, Bears 20.

Cardinals @ Seahawks: Sunday 4:15 pm on FOX.  The Cardinals are 3 point favorites, the O/U is 43 points.  The Seahawks have no run game.  None, and at the beginning of the year the passing attack was the big question mark.  And it still is, Tavaris Jackson is just playing very sub par football.  All the Cardinals have to do to win is show up with their uniforms.

Take the Cardinals and the under.  Final score:  Cardinals 21, Seahawks 9.

Falcons @Buccaneers: Sunday 4:15 pm on FOX.  The Falcons are 1½ point favorites, the O/U is 45½ points. Tampa has, like the ‘hawks, had a less than spectacular run game.  The Falcons on the other hand have Michael Turner, who was been pretty damn good even when they lost to the Bears week 1.  And the Matt Ryan – Tony Gonzalez connection has been golden for the Falcons.  Expect that to continue.

Take the Falcons and the over.  Final score:  Falcons 34, Bucs 21.

Steelers @ Colts: Sunday 8:20 pm on NBC.  The Steelers are 10½ point favorites, the O/U is 39½ points.  Colts suck.  Steelers do not.  That simple.  That doesn’t mean that the Colts will just roll over.  They’ll try to play, they’ll try to keep up.  They’ll even score a few points.  It won’t be enough. They’ll cover though.

Take the Colts and the under.  Finals score:  Steelers 21,  Colts 14.

Redskins @ Cowboys: Monday 8:30 pm on ESPN. There is no line or O/U as of this writing for this game, due to the questionable status of Tony Romo.  Tony is one tough S.O.B., and he proved that by playing with a broken rib and a punctured lung last week and leading his team to a win.  That kind fo play should inspire some very strong play from an already strong Cowboys team.  The Skins are a mediocre team.

Cowboys win(if/when spread and o/u info shows I will add it here.) Final score:  Cowboys  27, Redskins 21.

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That’s it from here, America.  G’night.

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