Does It Matter Who Wins, Really?


When people put their ballots in the boxes, they are, by that act, inoculated against the feeling that the government is not theirs. They then accept, in some measure, that its errors are their errors, its aberrations their aberrations, that any revolt will be against them. It’s a remarkably shrewd and rather conservative arrangement when one thinks of it.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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I’m looking at the field of Republican candidates for the presidency in 2012.  They do have some potential winners there.

That doesn’t mean there are candidates there that are offhand worth a damn.  When I say potential winners, what I mean is that there are candidates out there that can bring a significant percentage of voters out to the polls.  Note I don’t say enough to win it all.  But then again with politics as they exist in this nation, just about anyone with the word “Republican” attached to them in a national election can bring about 45% of the electorate with them. Much the same as just about any Democrat can bring the same percentage of people with them.

The show is usually about the 8 – 10% who aren’t sure which way to go.

Think I’m off?  How much of the electorate did John McCain get in 2008? Do you remember the actual amount of people who voted for McCain? The actual percentage?

45.7%

Almost 60,000,000 people.  In an election cycle that had easy Democratic winner written all over it.  So basically anyone with the word Republican should be able to draw a hefty percentage of the population with them.

I say that to say this.

The actual person who the Republicans actually put forward really doesn’t matter, offhand.  What these run-ups to the primaries do, generally, is to show off the platform of the party and the people who want to be the name on the ticket, and to make sure that they have the right stuff to get the additional few percent of the populace that will make sure that the Republican ideology will run the nation for the next few years.

Which is why guys like Gingrich and Santorum aren’t really viable candidates.  They distract from the narrative, rather than illuminate what the republicans really want to show, and what they want to do, which is show that their small government vision is the right one for the country.

That said, my money is on John Huntsman, or if he doesn’t work out, Mitt Romney.

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Viddy of the day:  Newt Gingrich on 2012: I’m the ‘Change’ Candidate

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I don’t remember what exactly I was listening to this morning, but I was listening to the news, and I heard this curious tidbit that no Republican who has won Iowa in the last 7 (or was it 8, I don’t exactly recall) Republican primaries has gone on to win the republican nomination.  I don’t know that that is true, but if it is, would you want to be the one stumping in Iowa?

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Danger invites rescue. … The wrongdoer may not have foreseen the coming of a deliverer. He is accountable as if he had.

Supreme Court Justice Benjamin Cardozo

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If the Republicans want to turn this election into a referendum on the economic ideology of the President and the democrats, it would, I believe, behoove them to not allow the debt ceiling to become much more of a bone of contention than it already is.  They would only be inviting additional scrutiny into the actions of the previous Republican administration, who very much kicked the can down the road, adding over $5,000,000,000,000 to the national debt.

“So what?” the Republicans say, look at what this president has done to our deficit?

Yes.  Let’s.

He has had to spend money hand over fist just to keep the nation afloat.  Trillions.  Spending just to make sure that capitalism as we know it would not utterly collapse.  Which was a realistic danger when he took office.  Without the spending he did, unemployment, and every other financial issue this nation currently faces would be significantly worse.

And let us remember where those issues came from.

Without President Bush Jr. and his wild spending spree, and his millionaire tax cuts, and his disastrously wasteful war in Iraq, that spent hundreds of billions, and costs thousands of lives, ostensibly for nothing but conquest in the name of cheap oil, which never materialized, President Obama would not have had to spend like he did to get us out of the mess he was handed.

If you blame the Democrats for the financial state of our nation, you need to do 2 things.  One is look in the mirror, and the other is remember how Obama got to be where he is.  Without Republicans acting as they did from 2000 – 2008, there would be no Democrat in power now, and the deficit would be nowhere near what it is now.

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That’s it from here, America.  G’night.

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