2011 WILDLY INACCURATE NFL Wild Card Playoff Predictions


Playoffs? You want to talk about playoffs? Don’t talk about playoffs. Are you kidding me? Playoffs? I just hope we can win a game…another game.

Jim Mora

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ARE YOU READY FOR SOME FOOTBALL?!!!!  Me either, but the playoffs are here, and that means it’s time for me to do my annual first round playoff picks!

Just about every team that deserved to make the playoffs made it, and just about every team that made the playoffs deserved it.  There is one team in each category you could call out as not being right.  The Tampa Bay Bucs were a damn good team in a very strong division that didn’t make it. despite beating two teams that did make the playoffs in the last two weeks of the season.  In fact the team that holds the 4 seed in the NFC got their asses handed to them by this non-playoff team.  Go fig.  They’ll be hungry coming into next year, and should make a strong showing then.  Sucks that we have to wait until next year with them though.

Mind you they did also lose to twice to division rival Saints, as well as the (don’t laugh)much improved Detroit Lions in week 15.  The Bucs were a hella good team, but on the other hand, you DO have to win ONE of those.

I will not speak much of the New York Giants.  After the loss to the Eagles in week 15, after giving up 4 touchdowns with 8 minutes to go…. No.  They did not deserve the playoffs this year just because of that.  No, the Giants were not so Giant this year, not after that.

Now, about those Seahawks.  7-9.   2 wins in their last 5 games.  3 wins in their last 8.  Sub .500.  They gave up over 407 points while scoring 100 points less than that.  The only playoff team that gave up more points than they scored.  Even though they won 5 home games, two of their biggest losses were at home, and only one of those were to a playoff team.  They sucked. 

BUT they won the division.  The other teams in their division were worse than they were, like it or not.  They get to play because they were better than every one in their division.  The Rams looked good at times, but they could not do it.  When push came to shove, they just couldn’t do it. 

The Seahawks are in.  Get over it.

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Viddy of the day: The NFL today, Playoff Preview.  This is from before the games of week 17. 

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OK, I’m going to do this in chronological order.  First game first. 

(5) New Orleans Saints at (4) Seattle Seahawks:  Saturday, on NBC at 4:30 pm Eastern.  Saints are favored by 10.5 points as of this writing, O/U is 44½ points. 

The Saints played the Seahawks in New Orleans November 21st.  The Saints defeated the Seahawks 34-19.  New Orleans kept the Seahawks to 58 yards on the ground on 17 carries.  Matt Hasselback did his best, throwing 44 times, and completing 32 of those tosses, but only threw for 1 TD. 

I am not expecting this game to be nearly the game that that game was.  I expect the Seahawks defense to play stronger in Seattle than they did in New Orleans.  I expect that their offense will be more successful moving the ball on the Saints.  But I also expect the Saints to make improvements on their own as well.   They will run the ball on The Seahawks regardless of who is starting, at this point the starter is Reggie Bush, and the pass game of the Saints is just too potent for the Seahawks to stop. 

As far as the betting line, take the Seahawks and the over.  That doesn’t mean the Seahawks will win.  Final Score:  New Orleans Saints 30, Seattle Seahawks 24. 

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(6) New York Jets at (3) Indianapolis Colts:  Saturday, on NBC at 8:00 pm Eastern.   The Colts are favored by 2.5 points as of this writing.  O/U is 44½ points.

The teams last met in last years playoffs, where the Colts came from 11 points down in the Second quarter, scored 24 unanswered points and Peyton Manning threw for 377 yards and 3 TD’s  to defeat the Jets 30-17 in the AFC Championship game. 

The Jets are not as good a team this year as they were last year.  The Colts are not as good a team as they were last year.  But both teams are definitely good enough to be here, unlike the Seahawks, they belong here.  The Jets did lose three of their last five games, including getting stomped by the Patriots 45-3.  The Colts have won 4 of their last 5, but none of them all that convincingly.  Peyton has thrown only 2 int’s against 7 TD’s in his last 3 games, while Mark Sanchez has thrown only 1 TD in his last 3 games, while tossing 3 int’s.

And that will be the difference in this game. The Colts are going to give Sanchez and the Jets Offense fits.

As far as the betting line, take the Colts and the under.  Final Score:  Indianapolis Colts 24, New York Jets 14.

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(5) Baltimore Ravens at (4) Kansas City Chiefs:  Sunday, on CBS at 1:00 pm Eastern.   The Ravens are favored by 3 points as of this writing.  O/U is 41 points. 

These teams last met in week one last season.   Joe Flacco threw for over 300 yards and 3 touchdowns in defeating the Chiefs 38 -24.

The Chiefs are a pretty damn good team, though they did have a helluva bad time in division games.  Matt Cassel has played great for them, throwing only 7 int’s over the season, while tossing 27 TD’s.  He was horrible against the Raiders in the final week of the season, tho. 11 for 33 against them.

The Ravens are a very good team, one of the best in the league.  Duh, and other such statements.  But I tell you, I think the Chiefs can handle these guys.  If Flacco is his usual 2 touchdown, 150 yard a game quarterback, that will give the Chiefs a chance to steal one from them.

Flacco’s flaccid arm will be the difference.  Take the Cheifs and the Under.  Final Score: Kansas City Cheifs 21, Baltimore Ravens 17.

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(6) Green Bay Packers at (3) Philadelphia Eagles:  Sunday, on Fox at 4:30 pm eastern.  The Eagles are favored by 2.5 points as of this writing. O/U is 46 points.

These teams last met in week one this season, with the Packers defeating the Eagles 27-20.  They pounded the Eagles early and lead them 20 – 3 at the mid point of the third quarter, before the Eagles made it close.

Michael Vick.  The most dangerous man in football.  Or so you’ve heard.  Looking strictly at the numbers there are several better QB’s.  I’ve mentioned several of them in this article.  But he brings more than numbers.  It is the uncertainty he presents to other teams offenses that makes him so good. But he can be neutralized.  He is vulnerable to the blitz.  His completion percentage goes through the floor when he’s being blitzed, and he was sacked 19 times when the blitz was on.

The Green Bay Packers defense has allowed fewer points than any team, save one (Pittsburgh), in the NFL this year. They’ve sacked the QB more than any team in the playoffs, save one (Pittsburgh).

The most important matchup in this game is Clay Matthews & Co. V. Michael Vick.  Vick will get free enough to make life hard for the Pack, but the defense will pressure him all game, and in the end, that will turn the tide of the game.

Packers D will be the difference.  Take the Pack and the over.  Final Score:  Green Bay Packers 31, Philadelphia Eagles 24.

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That’s it from here, America.  Have a good night!

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